Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. NC Magra have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. JS Azazga have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. NC Magra score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. NC Magra average 8.4 shots (3.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. JS Azazga score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. JS Azazga average 8.3 shots (4.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: JS Azazga are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. JS Azazga are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour JS Azazga. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.15, 95% on the records (NC Magra: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; JS Azazga: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: NC Magra 0-1 JS Azazga (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).