LULOB

02:00Sun 1 Nov

CHA

Lobos Ulmx vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Lobos Ulmx are 11th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Chapulineros, level on points with Los Cabos United. A win would take them above Chapulineros. Chapulineros de Oaxaca are 10th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Zacatepec 1948, 1 point clear of Lobos ULMX. A win would take them above Zacatepec 1948.

Form. Lobos Ulmx have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. Chapulineros de Oaxaca have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.

The numbers. Lobos Ulmx score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lobos Ulmx average 6.2 shots (3.6 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Chapulineros de Oaxaca score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Chapulineros de Oaxaca average 12.3 shots (4.8 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Lobos Ulmx 1-1 Chapulineros de Oaxaca (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Lobos Ulmx the favourite), goals in between.

The league run. Lobos Ulmx: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L W L). Chapulineros de Oaxaca: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W W L D).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LOB 8 of 8 (100%) · CHA 8 of 8 (100%)92.2%

Lobos Ulmx: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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LOB 8 of 8 (100%) · CHA 6 of 8 (75%)90.7%

Lobos Ulmx: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level

LOBOS ULMX GOALS

Lobos Ulmx Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LOB 6 of 8 (75%) · CHA 8 of 8 (100%)59.5%

Lobos Ulmx scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Chapulineros de Oaxaca conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level

CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA GOALS

Chapulineros de Oaxaca Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

CHA 7 of 8 (88%) · LOB 6 of 8 (75%)50.2%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos Ulmx conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Lobos Ulmx's level · Lobos Ulmx: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Lobos Ulmx goals →

Chapulineros de Oaxaca goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

LOBOS ULMXWLLLDLWLWW1.30 PPG

CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACADDLLDDLWWW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LOBOS ULMX HOMExCHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.201.50CONCEDED A GAME1.6030%CLEAN SHEETS10%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%3.60CORNERS A GAME2.892.20CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.25POINTS A GAME1.57-0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.51.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.08LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LOBOS ULMX OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LOBOS ULMXxCHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE80%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Lobos Ulmx have scored in 80% of their games.

Chapulineros de Oaxaca have scored in 80% of their games.

Lobos Ulmx kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Chapulineros de Oaxaca kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards