Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Real Avila CF are 15th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind RSD Alcalá, 1 point clear of Calvo Sotelo. A win would take them above RSD Alcalá. Real Madrid C are 18th on 5 points after 8 games, level on points with Getafe II. A win would take them above Getafe II.
Form. Real Avila CF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. Real Madrid C have won none, drawn six and lost four of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L.
The numbers. Real Avila CF score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Avila CF average 12.0 shots (4.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Real Madrid C score 0.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Real Madrid C average 10.7 shots (2.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Real Avila CF 1-1 Real Madrid C (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).