UTUDT

13:00Sun 1 Nov

CDX

UD Tamaraceite vs CD Xerez

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. UD Tamaraceite are 16th on 6 points after 8 games, level on points with Marbella, 1 point clear of Las Palmas II. A win would take them above Marbella. CD Xerez are 13th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Tenerife II, level on points with Atlético Central. A win would take them above Tenerife II.

Form. UD Tamaraceite have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. CD Xerez have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W.

The numbers. UD Tamaraceite score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. UD Tamaraceite average 6.2 shots (2.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.8 cards a game. CD Xerez score 0.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. CD Xerez average 13.7 shots (4.5 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

The case against. UD Tamaraceite's record still gives them 29% to win.

The read. CD Xerez to win. A tight game. CD Xerez are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Xerez. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Xerez Over 0.5 Goals (CD Xerez's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Tamaraceite 0-1 CD Xerez (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Xerez or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDT 8 of 9 (89%) · CDX 7 of 8 (88%)88.2%

CD Xerez: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level

Double Chance: Draw or CD XerezLEANHELD · the odds board 82%

1.22

UDT 6 of 9 (67%) · CDX 6 of 8 (75%)60.3%

CD Xerez unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · UD Tamaraceite failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · CD Xerez: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDT 7 of 8 (88%) · CDX 9 of 9 (100%)96.2%

UD Tamaraceite: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Xerez: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level · CD Xerez: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDT 6 of 8 (75%) · CDX 9 of 9 (100%)89.9%

UD Tamaraceite: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Xerez: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level · CD Xerez: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDT 5 of 8 (62%) · CDX 9 of 9 (100%)77.1%

UD Tamaraceite: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Xerez: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level · CD Xerez: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.64

UDT 5 of 8 (62%) · CDX 7 of 9 (78%)56%

UD Tamaraceite: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Xerez: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level · CD Xerez: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDT 7 of 8 (88%) · CDX 9 of 9 (100%)93.8%

UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Xerez: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level · CD Xerez: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UDT 6 of 8 (75%) · CDX 9 of 9 (100%)87.5%

UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Xerez: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Xerez's level · CD Xerez: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level

Left off the list: CD Xerez Over 0.5 Goals (CD Xerez's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.1%

UD Tamaraceite goals →

CD Xerez goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

UD TAMARACEITELWLLLLWLWL0.90 PPG

CD XEREZDDLDLWDLWL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UD TAMARACEITE HOMExCD XEREZ AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME0.601.70CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS40%50%FAILED TO SCORE50%4.00CORNERS A GAME6.503.75CARDS A GAME1.83

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.86POINTS A GAME1.12-0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

23%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

22%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

UD TAMARACEITE OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

CD XEREZ OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

UD TAMARACEITExCD XEREZ

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME0.802.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

UD Tamaraceite have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Xerez have scored in 50% of their games.

UD Tamaraceite kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

CD Xerez kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards