MFMAR

12:00Sun 1 Nov

CPM

Marbella FC vs CP Mijas-Las Lagunas

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Banus Football Center, Marbella.

What's at stake. Marbella FC are 15th on 6 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Atlético Central, level on points with Tamaraceite. A win would take them level on points with Atlético Central. CP Mijas-Las Lagunas are 6th on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Don Benito, 1 point clear of Sevilla Atletico. A win would take them above Don Benito.

Form. Marbella FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. CP Mijas-Las Lagunas have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W.

The numbers. Marbella FC score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Marbella FC average 11.0 shots (5.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game. CP Mijas-Las Lagunas score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CP Mijas-Las Lagunas average 11.5 shots (6.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CP Mijas-Las Lagunas or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CP Mijas-Las Lagunas or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Marbella FC 1-1 CP Mijas-Las Lagunas (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAR 8 of 8 (100%) · CPM 7 of 8 (88%)94.9%

Marbella FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CP Mijas-Las Lagunas's level · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAR 6 of 8 (75%) · CPM 8 of 8 (100%)92.1%

Marbella FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CP Mijas-Las Lagunas's level · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAR 7 of 8 (88%) · CPM 7 of 8 (88%)87.4%

Marbella FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CP Mijas-Las Lagunas's level · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAR 4 of 8 (50%) · CPM 8 of 8 (100%)74.4%

Marbella FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CP Mijas-Las Lagunas's level · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level

CP MIJAS-LAS LAGUNAS GOALS

CP Mijas-Las Lagunas Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAR 7 of 8 (88%) · CPM 6 of 8 (75%)74.8%

CP Mijas-Las Lagunas scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Marbella FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level · Marbella FC: only games against sides at CP Mijas-Las Lagunas's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAR 5 of 6 (83%) · CPM 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%

Marbella FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: only games against sides at Marbella FC's level

Left off the list: CP Mijas-Las Lagunas or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CP Mijas-Las Lagunas or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Marbella FC goals →

CP Mijas-Las Lagunas goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

MARBELLA FCLWDLWDLLDL0.90 PPG

CP MIJAS-LAS LAGUNASWDLDDWDWWD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MARBELLA FC HOMExCP MIJAS-LAS LAGUNAS AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME2.401.70CONCEDED A GAME1.7020%CLEAN SHEETS10%75%FAILED TO SCORE12%3.00CORNERS A GAME3.833.67CARDS A GAME3.17

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.75POINTS A GAME1.67-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.67-0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.20.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.88LEAGUE GAMES6

CP Mijas-Las Lagunas: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

CP MIJAS-LAS LAGUNAS 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

MARBELLA FC OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

CP MIJAS-LAS LAGUNAS OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MARBELLA FCxCP MIJAS-LAS LAGUNAS

5GAMES50.00SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.200.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.220%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%0%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Marbella FC have scored in 40% of their games.

CP Mijas-Las Lagunas have scored in 90% of their games.

Marbella FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

CP Mijas-Las Lagunas kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards