Match details. Super League 2, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Asteras Tripolis B are 10th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Ellas Syros, 1 point clear of Apollon Pontou. A win would take them above Ellas Syros. Pas Pyrgos are 12th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Apollon Pontou, level on points with Nestos Chrisoupolis. A win would take them above Apollon Pontou.
Form. Asteras Tripolis B have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. Pas Pyrgos have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D.
The numbers. Asteras Tripolis B score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Asteras Tripolis B average 7.7 shots (2.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Pas Pyrgos score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Pas Pyrgos average 7.6 shots (2.4 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 26%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 79% on the records (Asteras Tripolis B: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Pas Pyrgos: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Asteras Tripolis B or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Pas Pyrgos or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Asteras Tripolis B 1-1 Pas Pyrgos (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).