Match details. Segunda Division. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Fenix Montevideo have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. CS Cerrito have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W.
The numbers. CA Fenix Montevideo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Fenix Montevideo average 9.8 shots (4.4 on target), 5.8 corners and 4.2 cards a game. CS Cerrito score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CS Cerrito average 11.5 shots (5.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Fenix Montevideo 1-1 CS Cerrito (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAF 8 of 8 (100%) · CSC 7 of 7 (100%)95.9%
CA Fenix Montevideo: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CS Cerrito: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CA Fenix Montevideo: only games against sides at CS Cerrito's level · CS Cerrito: only games against sides at CA Fenix Montevideo's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAF 7 of 8 (88%) · CSC 7 of 7 (100%)89.6%
CA Fenix Montevideo: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CS Cerrito: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CA Fenix Montevideo: only games against sides at CS Cerrito's level · CS Cerrito: only games against sides at CA Fenix Montevideo's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAF 6 of 7 (86%) · CSC 5 of 5 (100%)92.9%
CA Fenix Montevideo's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CS Cerrito's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · CA Fenix Montevideo: only games against sides at CS Cerrito's level · CS Cerrito: only games against sides at CA Fenix Montevideo's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.3%
CA Fenix Montevideo goals →
CS Cerrito goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CA FENIX MONTEVIDEODLWDLLWDLL0.90 PPG
CS CERRITOWDDWLWDWLD1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA FENIX MONTEVIDEO HOMExCS CERRITO AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.601.70CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.78CORNERS A GAME4.004.22CARDS A GAME3.12
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.14POINTS A GAME1.00-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.414LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
47%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CA FENIX MONTEVIDEO OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
CS CERRITO OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CA FENIX MONTEVIDEOxCS CERRITO
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CA Fenix Montevideo have scored in 70% of their games.
CS Cerrito have scored in 80% of their games.
CA Fenix Montevideo kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
CS Cerrito kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards