Criciuma SC vs Marcilio Dias

Match details. Catarinense, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. Criciuma SC have won four, drawn none and lost none of their last four league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: W W W W. Marcilio Dias have won three, drawn none and lost one of their last four league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: W L W W.

The numbers. Criciuma SC score 5.8 and concede 0.5 a game over their last four, with two clean sheets. Criciuma SC average 12.5 shots (3.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Marcilio Dias score 2.2 and concede one a game over their last four, with one clean sheet. Marcilio Dias average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 13% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: Marcilio Dias are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Marcilio Dias are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Marcilio Dias. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Criciuma SC 2-1 Marcilio Dias (8% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Marcilio Dias the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.