AMATL

17:00Sat 31 Oct

ALH

Atletico Madrid B vs Alhama CF

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. Atletico Madrid B have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W W W. Alhama CF have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L W W W.

The numbers. Atletico Madrid B score 2.3 and concede 2.7 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Atletico Madrid B average 6.5 shots (2.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Alhama CF score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alhama CF average 9.6 shots (4.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Atletico Madrid B the likelier winners, but Atletico Madrid B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alhama CF.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Atletico Madrid B 2-1 Alhama CF (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Atletico Madrid B the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · ALH 4 of 5 (80%)90%

Atletico Madrid B: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Alhama CF: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Alhama CF's level · Alhama CF: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.30

ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · ALH 3 of 5 (60%)81%

Atletico Madrid B: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Alhama CF: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Alhama CF's level · Alhama CF: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.92

ATL 4 of 6 (67%) · ALH 2 of 5 (40%)53.2%

Atletico Madrid B: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Alhama CF: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Alhama CF's level · Alhama CF: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

ATL 6 of 6 (100%) · ALH 3 of 5 (60%)80%

Atletico Madrid B: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Alhama CF: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Alhama CF's level · Alhama CF: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · ALH 5 of 9 (56%)75.7%

Atletico Madrid B's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Alhama CF's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Alhama CF's level

Left off the list: Atletico Madrid B or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Alhama CF or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Atletico Madrid B or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Atletico Madrid B or Alhama CF (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Alhama CF or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9%

Atletico Madrid B goals →

Alhama CF goals ↓

0-03%

1-05%

2-06%

3-04%

4-02%

5-01%

0-13%

1-19%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-23%

1-26%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-31%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.6%

0-40.5%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.9%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.4%

3-50.3%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ATLETICO MADRID BWDLLWWWWLL1.60 PPG

ALHAMA CFLDLWWWWLLD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATLETICO MADRID B HOMExALHAMA CF AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.202.30CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.38CORNERS A GAME3.562.75CARDS A GAME2.44

TRENDS

Atletico Madrid B have scored in 80% of their games.

Alhama CF have scored in 70% of their games.

Atletico Madrid B kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Alhama CF kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards