Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 11. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Llosetense have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. CE Mercadal have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D.
The numbers. CD Llosetense score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Llosetense average 8.0 shots (5.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CE Mercadal score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
The case against. CE Mercadal's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. CD Llosetense to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Llosetense the likelier winners; CD Llosetense are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Llosetense or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Llosetense or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Llosetense 1-0 CE Mercadal (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).