Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano are 16th on 6 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Real Ávila, 1 point clear of Getafe II. A win would take them above Real Ávila. CD Guadalajara are 12th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Atlético Paso, level on points with Albacete II. A win would take them above Atlético Paso.
Form. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. CD Guadalajara have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Calvo Sotelo Puertollano average 10.5 shots (3.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game. CD Guadalajara score 1.9 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Guadalajara average 13.1 shots (5.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Calvo Sotelo Puertollano have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 2 Feb 2020, it finished Calvo Sotelo Puertollano 1-1 CD Guadalajara.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Calvo Sotelo Puertollano or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CD Guadalajara or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Calvo Sotelo Puertollano 2-2 CD Guadalajara (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).