Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jesus Navas, Sevilla.
What's at stake. Sevilla Atletico are 7th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Mijas Las Lagunas, level on points with Estepona. A win would take them above Mijas Las Lagunas. Puente Genil FC are 10th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Linares Deportivo, 1 point clear of Sanluqueño. A win would take them above Linares Deportivo.
Form. Sevilla Atletico have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. Puente Genil FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.
The numbers. Sevilla Atletico score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Sevilla Atletico average 9.3 shots (4.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Puente Genil FC score one and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Puente Genil FC average 9.8 shots (1.8 on target), 6.2 corners and 3.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Sevilla Atletico 1-1 Puente Genil FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).