Match details. 2. Lig, 2. Lig Red Group - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor are 7th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind 1461 Trabzon FK, level on points with Karacabey Belediyespor. A win would take them above 1461 Trabzon FK. Inegolspor are 15th on 2 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Fethiyespor, level on points with Serik Spor. A win would take them level on points with Fethiyespor.
Form. Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. Inegolspor have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L.
The numbers. Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor average 5.0 cards a game. Inegolspor score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Inegolspor average 9.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 39%.
The read. No firm call: Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor the likelier winners; Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor 2-1 Inegolspor (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).