Match details. Gaucho, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Brasil de Farroupilha RS have won five, drawn none and lost none of their last five league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Brasil de Farroupilha RS score 6.4 and concede 0.2 a game over their last five, with four clean sheets. Brasil de Farroupilha RS average 19.0 shots (8.7 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS score 2.7 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and four games without a goal. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS average 15.4 shots (6.2 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Brasil de Farroupilha RS 1-2 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS in their last cup games: won 3-1 v SC Internacional RS, drew 0-0 at SC Internacional RS. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).