Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sao Cristovao FR RJ have won one, drawn four and lost four of their last nine league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L D L. Macae Esporte FC RJ have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L L W.
The numbers. Sao Cristovao FR RJ score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. Sao Cristovao FR RJ average 9.7 shots (3.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Macae Esporte FC RJ score one and concede one a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Macae Esporte FC RJ average 7.7 shots (3.0 on target), 1.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, rated 89% (Sao Cristovao FR RJ: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; Macae Esporte FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9). Predicted score: Sao Cristovao FR RJ 0-0 Macae Esporte FC RJ (18% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Sao Cristovao FR RJ the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).