EC Nova Cidade RJ vs Petropolis FC RJ
Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. EC Nova Cidade RJ have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D W D. Petropolis FC RJ have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W D D.
The numbers. EC Nova Cidade RJ score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. EC Nova Cidade RJ average 10.0 shots (4.0 on target), 6.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Petropolis FC RJ score 1.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Petropolis FC RJ average 12.4 shots (4.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, rated 82% (EC Nova Cidade RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Petropolis FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Predicted score: EC Nova Cidade RJ 1-1 Petropolis FC RJ (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Petropolis FC RJ the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).