DDDUQ

19:00Sat 31 Oct

SER

Duque de Caxias FC RJ vs Serrano FC RJ

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. Duque de Caxias FC RJ have won six, drawn one and lost two of their last nine league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W L. Serrano FC RJ have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W W W.

The numbers. Duque de Caxias FC RJ score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last nine, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Duque de Caxias FC RJ average 10.0 shots (4.2 on target), 2.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Serrano FC RJ score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Serrano FC RJ average 10.6 shots (4.5 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The case against. Serrano FC RJ's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Duque de Caxias FC RJ to win. Their goals for and against make Duque de Caxias FC RJ the likelier winners; Duque de Caxias FC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Duque de Caxias FC RJ.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Duque de Caxias FC RJ 2-1 Serrano FC RJ (10% chance).

The agreed story. Duque de Caxias FC RJ or the draw, goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Duque de Caxias FC RJ or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DUQ 8 of 9 (89%) · SER 4 of 5 (80%)80.3%

Duque de Caxias FC RJ: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Serrano FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Duque de Caxias FC RJ: only games against sides at Serrano FC RJ's level · Serrano FC RJ: only games against sides at Duque de Caxias FC RJ's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

DUQ 8 of 9 (89%) · SER 5 of 5 (100%)92.8%

Duque de Caxias FC RJ: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Serrano FC RJ: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Duque de Caxias FC RJ: only games against sides at Serrano FC RJ's level · Serrano FC RJ: only games against sides at Duque de Caxias FC RJ's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

DUQ 8 of 9 (89%) · SER 3 of 5 (60%)77.8%

Duque de Caxias FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Serrano FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Duque de Caxias FC RJ: only games against sides at Serrano FC RJ's level · Serrano FC RJ: only games against sides at Duque de Caxias FC RJ's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DUQ 8 of 9 (89%) · SER 3 of 5 (60%)77.8%

Duque de Caxias FC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Serrano FC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Duque de Caxias FC RJ: only games against sides at Serrano FC RJ's level · Serrano FC RJ: only games against sides at Duque de Caxias FC RJ's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DUQ 7 of 8 (88%) · SER 5 of 8 (62%)75%

Duque de Caxias FC RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Serrano FC RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Duque de Caxias FC RJ: only games against sides at Serrano FC RJ's level · Serrano FC RJ: only games against sides at Duque de Caxias FC RJ's level

Left off the list: Serrano FC RJ or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Duque de Caxias FC RJ); Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (45%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.8%

Duque de Caxias FC RJ goals →

Serrano FC RJ goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.6%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

DUQUE DE CAXIAS FC RJLWWWLLWWWD1.90 PPG

SERRANO FC RJLLDWDWWWDW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DUQUE DE CAXIAS FC RJ HOMExSERRANO FC RJ AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2050%CLEAN SHEETS50%2.89CORNERS A GAME4.383.00CARDS A GAME2.12

TRENDS

Duque de Caxias FC RJ have scored in 70% of their games.

Serrano FC RJ have scored in 70% of their games.

Duque de Caxias FC RJ kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Serrano FC RJ kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards