Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. AA Carapebus RJ have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten league games, 0.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L L. Audax Rio EC RJ have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L W L D.
The numbers. AA Carapebus RJ score 0.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. AA Carapebus RJ average 10.4 shots (3.6 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Audax Rio EC RJ score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Audax Rio EC RJ average 12.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.8 cards a game.
The case against. AA Carapebus RJ's record still gives them 45% to win.
The read. Audax Rio EC RJ to win. A tight game. Audax Rio EC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Audax Rio EC RJ. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AA Carapebus RJ 0-1 Audax Rio EC RJ (10% chance).
The agreed story. Audax Rio EC RJ or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Audax Rio EC RJ or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AUD 2 of 5 (40%) · AAC 5 of 5 (100%)70%
Audax Rio EC RJ: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · AA Carapebus RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level
Audax Rio EC RJ or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AUD 3 of 5 (60%) · AAC 3 of 8 (38%)66.8%
Audax Rio EC RJ scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AA Carapebus RJ trailed or failed to win in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AAC 5 of 5 (100%) · AUD 5 of 5 (100%)97%
AA Carapebus RJ: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AAC 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 4 of 5 (80%)82.7%
AA Carapebus RJ: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level
AUDAX RIO EC RJ GOALS
Audax Rio EC RJ Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AUD 3 of 5 (60%) · AAC 5 of 5 (100%)58.7%
Audax Rio EC RJ scored in 3 of 5 away · AA Carapebus RJ conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AAC 5 of 5 (100%) · AUD 5 of 5 (100%)97%
AA Carapebus RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.16
AAC 5 of 5 (100%) · AUD 4 of 5 (80%)89.3%
AA Carapebus RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.40
AAC 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 5 of 5 (100%)85%
AA Carapebus RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AAC 2 of 5 (40%) · AUD 4 of 5 (80%)62.7%
AA Carapebus RJ: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AAC 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 8 of 8 (100%)88.3%
AA Carapebus RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · AA Carapebus RJ: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at AA Carapebus RJ's level
Left off the list: Audax Rio EC RJ or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Audax Rio EC RJ or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.8%
AA Carapebus RJ goals →
Audax Rio EC RJ goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41.0%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AA CARAPEBUS RJLLLDLLLLLD0.20 PPG
AUDAX RIO EC RJLLLLLDLWLD0.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AA CARAPEBUS RJ HOMExAUDAX RIO EC RJ AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME0.602.20CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.70CORNERS A GAME4.502.60CARDS A GAME3.75
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
AA Carapebus RJ have scored in 40% of their games.
Audax Rio EC RJ have scored in 50% of their games.
AA Carapebus RJ kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Audax Rio EC RJ kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards