The Bees FC vs Midlands Wanderers FC
Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. The Bees FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W L. Midlands Wanderers FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W L D.
The numbers. The Bees FC score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. The Bees FC average 5.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. Midlands Wanderers FC score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Midlands Wanderers FC average 7.7 shots (3.3 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Midlands Wanderers FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour The Bees FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: The Bees FC 1-1 Midlands Wanderers FC (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (The Bees FC the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).