Match details. Primera Federacion, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Osasuna have won two, drawn four and lost none of their last six league games, 1.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W D D. Villarreal CF have won one, drawn two and lost one of their last four league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: L D W D.
The numbers. CA Osasuna score 2.2 and concede one a game over their last six, with three clean sheets. CA Osasuna average 16.9 shots (6.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Villarreal CF score one and concede one a game over their last four, with no clean sheets. Villarreal CF average 11.2 shots (6.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 65% against the records' 21%.
The read. No firm call: CA Osasuna are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CA Osasuna the likelier winners; CA Osasuna are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, rated 77% (CA Osasuna: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8; Villarreal CF: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: CA Osasuna 2-1 Villarreal CF (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CA Osasuna the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).