ABATH

12:30Sat 31 Oct

REA

Athletic Bilbao B vs Real Madrid B

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.

Form. Athletic Bilbao B have won one, drawn three and lost one of their last five league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L D W D. Real Madrid B have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L D.

The numbers. Athletic Bilbao B score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Athletic Bilbao B average 6.7 shots (2.3 on target), 1.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Real Madrid B score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Madrid B average 12.0 shots (5.9 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 50%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Athletic Bilbao B 1-1 Real Madrid B (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Real Madrid B the favourite), a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATH 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)81%

Athletic Bilbao B: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid B: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Athletic Bilbao B: only games against sides at Real Madrid B's level · Real Madrid B: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao B's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATH 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)81%

Athletic Bilbao B: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid B: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Athletic Bilbao B: only games against sides at Real Madrid B's level · Real Madrid B: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao B's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.38

ATH 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)72.7%

Athletic Bilbao B: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid B: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Athletic Bilbao B: only games against sides at Real Madrid B's level · Real Madrid B: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao B's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.20

ATH 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)91%

Athletic Bilbao B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid B: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Athletic Bilbao B: only games against sides at Real Madrid B's level · Real Madrid B: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao B's level

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATH 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)81%

Athletic Bilbao B: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid B: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Athletic Bilbao B: only games against sides at Real Madrid B's level · Real Madrid B: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao B's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.44

ATH 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)72.7%

Athletic Bilbao B: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid B: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Athletic Bilbao B: only games against sides at Real Madrid B's level · Real Madrid B: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao B's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Athletic Bilbao B goals →

Real Madrid B goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-113%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ATHLETIC BILBAO BDWDLD1.20 PPG

REAL MADRID BDWWLDDLLLD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATHLETIC BILBAO B HOMExREAL MADRID B AWAY

0.40SCORED A GAME1.301.40CONCEDED A GAME1.5060%CLEAN SHEETS30%1.00CORNERS A GAME5.331.67CARDS A GAME1.33

TRENDS

Athletic Bilbao B have scored in 40% of their games.

Real Madrid B have scored in 60% of their games.

Athletic Bilbao B kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Real Madrid B kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards