SCSDC

17:00Sun 1 Nov

CDB

SD Compostela vs CD Basconia

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. SD Compostela are 6th on 13 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Real Oviedo II, level on points with Amorebieta. A win would take them above Real Oviedo II. CD Basconia are 11th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Gernika, 2 points clear of Coruxo. A win would take them above Gernika.

Form. SD Compostela have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. CD Basconia have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W.

The numbers. SD Compostela score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. SD Compostela average 11.6 shots (4.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CD Basconia score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. CD Basconia average 11.3 shots (5.7 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The case against. CD Basconia's record still gives them 34% to win.

The read. SD Compostela to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make SD Compostela the likelier winners; SD Compostela are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SD Compostela 2-1 CD Basconia (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDC 7 of 8 (88%) · CDB 9 of 10 (90%)92.7%

SD Compostela: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Basconia: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · SD Compostela: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Compostela's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDC 5 of 8 (62%) · CDB 9 of 10 (90%)75.8%

SD Compostela: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Basconia: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · SD Compostela: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Compostela's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDC 4 of 8 (50%) · CDB 7 of 10 (70%)60%

SD Compostela: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Basconia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · on half-time scores · SD Compostela: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Compostela's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDC 7 of 8 (88%) · CDB 7 of 7 (100%)93.7%

SD Compostela's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Basconia's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · SD Compostela: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Compostela's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.6%

SD Compostela goals →

CD Basconia goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SD COMPOSTELALLDDWLLWWW1.40 PPG

CD BASCONIADWLWDWDDLD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SD COMPOSTELA HOMExCD BASCONIA AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.801.10CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS10%38%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.10CORNERS A GAME4.143.00CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.86POINTS A GAME1.25+0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12+1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.22.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.27LEAGUE GAMES8

SD Compostela: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

87%

OKAY · 85/90

SD COMPOSTELA OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

CD BASCONIA OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SD COMPOSTELAxCD BASCONIA

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.400.60CONCEDED A GAME1.602.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE100%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

SD Compostela have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Basconia have scored in 90% of their games.

SD Compostela kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

CD Basconia kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards