Somaspor vs Corluspor 1947
Match details. 2. Lig, 2. Lig White Group - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Somaspor are 13th on 7 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Ankaraspor, 2 points clear of Sebat Gençlikspor. A win would take them above Ankaraspor. Corluspor 1947 are 7th on 14 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Şanlıurfaspor, 3 points clear of Isparta 32 Spor. A win would take them above Şanlıurfaspor.
Form. Somaspor have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. Corluspor 1947 have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W.
The numbers. Somaspor score 2.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Somaspor average 4.8 shots (2.6 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Corluspor 1947 score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Corluspor 1947 average 8.0 shots (3.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
The case against. Somaspor's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Corluspor 1947 to win. An open game. Corluspor 1947 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Corluspor 1947. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 76% on the records (Somaspor: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Corluspor 1947: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Corluspor 1947 or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Corluspor 1947 Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Somaspor 1-2 Corluspor 1947 (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).