Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 3 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CF La Nucia are 6th on 12 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Deportiva Minera, 1 point clear of Orihuela. A win would take them above Deportiva Minera. CF Intercity are 14th on 9 points after 7 games, level on points with Mallorca II, 2 points clear of Real Murcia II. A win would take them above Mallorca II.
Form. CF La Nucia have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. CF Intercity have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D.
The numbers. CF La Nucia score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CF La Nucia average 8.8 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CF Intercity score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CF Intercity average 8.8 shots (3.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings CF La Nucia have won none, drawn four and lost none. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 15 Apr 2023, it finished CF La Nucia 2-2 CF Intercity.
The case against. CF Intercity's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. CF La Nucia to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF La Nucia the likelier winners; CF La Nucia are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CF La Nucia or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CF La Nucia or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CF La Nucia 1-0 CF Intercity (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CF La Nucia or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 4 of 5 (80%) · CFI 5 of 6 (83%)76.7%
CF La Nucia scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity trailed or failed to win in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
CF La Nucia or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 6 of 7 (86%) · CFI 3 of 5 (60%)71%
CF La Nucia: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 2 of 4 · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
CF La Nucia 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 4 of 5 (80%) · CFI 5 of 6 (83%)69.3%
CF La Nucia scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity trailed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
CF La Nucia or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 5 of 7 (71%) · CFI 3 of 5 (60%)68.5%
CF La Nucia: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · H2H 3 of 4 · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
CF La Nucia (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
CFL 4 of 7 (57%) · CFI 3 of 7 (43%)65.5%
CF La Nucia won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CF Intercity lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 50% · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 4
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 6 of 7 (86%) · CFI 5 of 5 (100%)94.7%
CF La Nucia: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · H2H 4 of 4 · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 6 of 7 (86%) · CFI 5 of 5 (100%)87.1%
CF La Nucia: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · H2H 4 of 4 · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 5 of 7 (71%) · CFI 4 of 5 (80%)72.6%
CF La Nucia: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · H2H 3 of 4 · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
CFL 4 of 7 (57%) · CFI 2 of 5 (40%)50.7%
CF La Nucia: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 54% · H2H 3 of 4 · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
CF LA NUCIA GOALS
CF La Nucia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 6 of 7 (86%) · CFI 3 of 5 (60%)79.2%
CF La Nucia scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 2 of 4 · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 6 of 7 (86%) · CFI 3 of 5 (60%)68.9%
CF La Nucia: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 1 of 4 · on half-time scores · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 5 of 6 (83%) · CFI 8 of 9 (89%)86.1%
CF La Nucia's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CF Intercity's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · CF La Nucia: only games against sides at CF Intercity's level · CF Intercity: only games against sides at CF La Nucia's level
Left off the list: CF La Nucia or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CF La Nucia or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.4%
CF La Nucia goals →
CF Intercity goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CF LA NUCIADDWWWWWLLL1.70 PPG
CF INTERCITYLWWWDDWDLL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CF LA NUCIA HOMExCF INTERCITY AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.200.90CONCEDED A GAME1.2050%CLEAN SHEETS30%14%FAILED TO SCORE29%4.00CORNERS A GAME3.782.50CARDS A GAME3.67
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.29+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29-3.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.61.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CF LA NUCIA OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
CF INTERCITY OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CF LA NUCIAxCF INTERCITY
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.801.60CONCEDED A GAME1.403.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
CF LA NUCIA 0 · 0%DRAW 4CF INTERCITY 0 · 0%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-01-09CF La Nucia 1 – 1 CF Intercity
2022-05-15CF La Nucia 0 – 0 CF Intercity
2022-12-06CF La Nucia 0 – 0 CF Intercity
2023-04-15CF La Nucia 2 – 2 CF Intercity
TRENDS
CF La Nucia have scored in 80% of their games.
CF Intercity have scored in 80% of their games.
CF La Nucia kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
CF Intercity kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards