CDA Navalcarnero vs CD Atletico Paso
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CDA Navalcarnero are 8th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Salamanca UDS, 2 points clear of Gimnástica Segoviana. A win would take them above Salamanca UDS. CD Atletico Paso are 11th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Atlético Tordesillas, level on points with Guadalajara. A win would take them above Atlético Tordesillas.
Form. CDA Navalcarnero have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. CD Atletico Paso have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W.
The numbers. CDA Navalcarnero score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. CDA Navalcarnero average 8.8 shots (3.5 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CD Atletico Paso score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Atletico Paso average 7.5 shots (3.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings CDA Navalcarnero have won two, drawn three and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CDA Navalcarnero won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2025, it finished CDA Navalcarnero 1-0 CD Atletico Paso.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Atletico Paso the likelier winners, but CDA Navalcarnero are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; five of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CDA Navalcarnero or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CDA Navalcarnero or Both Teams Score (the call is a draw). Predicted score: CDA Navalcarnero 1-1 CD Atletico Paso (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).