Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Club Portugalete are 9th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Ourense CF, 1 point clear of Gernika. A win would take them above Ourense CF. Arosa SC are 15th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with Atlético Astorga, level on points with Llanera. A win would take them above Atlético Astorga.
Form. Club Portugalete have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L. Arosa SC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D.
The numbers. Club Portugalete score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Club Portugalete average 12.7 shots (3.7 on target), 6.8 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Arosa SC score 1.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Arosa SC average 10.0 shots (3.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 59% against the records' 38%.
The read. No firm call: Club Portugalete are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Club Portugalete the likelier winners; Club Portugalete are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Club Portugalete 2-1 Arosa SC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Club Portugalete or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 6 of 8 (75%) · ARO 7 of 8 (88%)81.3%
Club Portugalete: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
Club Portugalete or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 4 of 5 (80%) · ARO 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Club Portugalete scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
Club Portugalete or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 8 (62%) · ARO 7 of 8 (88%)75%
Club Portugalete: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
Club Portugalete or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 8 (62%) · ARO 7 of 8 (88%)75%
Club Portugalete: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
Double Chance: Club Portugalete or DrawIN CODES
1.19
CLU 6 of 8 (75%) · ARO 7 of 8 (88%)73.4%
Club Portugalete unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
Club Portugalete (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
CLU 3 of 5 (60%) · ARO 3 of 6 (50%)64%
Club Portugalete won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Arosa SC lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 55% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · won 2, refunded 5, lost 2
Club Portugalete 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 3 of 5 (60%) · ARO 3 of 5 (60%)53.3%
Club Portugalete scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC trailed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 6 of 8 (75%) · ARO 7 of 8 (88%)92.7%
Club Portugalete: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 8 (62%) · ARO 6 of 8 (75%)76%
Club Portugalete: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.75
CLU 4 of 8 (50%) · ARO 6 of 8 (75%)50.9%
Club Portugalete: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 4 of 8 (50%) · ARO 5 of 8 (62%)54.4%
Club Portugalete: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
CLUB PORTUGALETE GOALS
Club Portugalete Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 8 (62%) · ARO 7 of 8 (88%)79.4%
Club Portugalete scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
AROSA SC GOALS
Arosa SC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 8 (62%) · ARO 5 of 8 (62%)67.7%
Arosa SC scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Club Portugalete conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · ARO 4 of 5 (80%)90%
Club Portugalete's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Club Portugalete: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Club Portugalete's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.4%
Club Portugalete goals →
Arosa SC goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CLUB PORTUGALETELWWDWLLWDD1.50 PPG
AROSA SCWDLDLDDWLW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CLUB PORTUGALETE HOMExAROSA SC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.701.20CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS20%38%FAILED TO SCORE38%6.83CORNERS A GAME5.293.83CARDS A GAME2.29
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME0.88+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62+4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.41.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8
Club Portugalete: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
66%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
CLUB PORTUGALETE OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
AROSA SC OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CLUB PORTUGALETExAROSA SC
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Club Portugalete have scored in 70% of their games.
Arosa SC have scored in 70% of their games.
Club Portugalete kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Arosa SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards