CF Lorca Deportiva vs UD Poblense
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 3 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CF Lorca Deportiva are 12th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Alcoyano, level on points with Mallorca II. A win would take them above Alcoyano. UD Poblense are 10th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Yeclano, level on points with Alcoyano. A win would take them above Yeclano.
Form. CF Lorca Deportiva have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. UD Poblense have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. CF Lorca Deportiva score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CF Lorca Deportiva average 11.3 shots (4.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game. UD Poblense score 0.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. UD Poblense average 8.5 shots (3.5 on target), 2.5 corners and 4.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CF Lorca Deportiva 0-1 UD Poblense (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).