Match details. 2. Lig, 2. Lig White Group - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Erbaaspor are 9th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Isparta 32 Spor, level on points with Menemen FK. A win would take them above Isparta 32 Spor. Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Genclik Ve Spor are 16th on None points after 8 games.
Form. Erbaaspor have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Genclik Ve Spor have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Erbaaspor score 1.9 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Erbaaspor average 11.8 shots (6.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Genclik Ve Spor score 0.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Genclik Ve Spor average 10.0 shots (2.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Erbaaspor have won one, drawn none and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 26 Mar 2025, it finished Erbaaspor 2-1 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Genclik Ve Spor.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 56%.
The read. No firm call: Erbaaspor are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Erbaaspor the likelier winners; Erbaaspor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Erbaaspor. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Genclik Ve Spor or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Erbaaspor); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Erbaaspor 2-1 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Genclik Ve Spor (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).