CA Alvarado vs Sportivo Las Parejas
Match details. Torneo Federal A, Round of 16. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata.
What's at stake. CA Alvarado are 5th on 27 points after 16 games, 3 points behind San Martin Formosa, level on points with Gimnasia Chivilcoy. A win would take them level on points with San Martin Formosa. Sportivo Las Parejas are 15th on 24 points after 18 games, 1 point behind 9 de Julio Rafaela, 1 point clear of Villa Mitre. A win would take them above 9 de Julio Rafaela. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CA Alvarado have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D. In this competition CA Alvarado have gone W D L W D D. Sportivo Las Parejas have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Sportivo Las Parejas have gone L W D W W W.
The numbers. CA Alvarado score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Alvarado average 11.3 shots (4.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Sportivo Las Parejas score one and concede 0.3 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and five games without a goal. Sportivo Las Parejas average 10.8 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings CA Alvarado have won two, drawn one and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 25 Oct 2026, it finished CA Alvarado 1-0 Sportivo Las Parejas: CA Alvarado had 7 shots to 13, 44% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 78% on the records (CA Alvarado: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Sportivo Las Parejas: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CA Alvarado or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Sportivo Las Parejas or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Alvarado 1-1 Sportivo Las Parejas (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).