Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo. The referee is F. Garcia.
What's at stake. CD Lugo are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, 2 points clear of UD Logroñés. Merida AD are 11th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Extremadura 1924, level on points with Real Unión. A win would take them above Extremadura 1924.
Form. CD Lugo have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Merida AD have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. CD Lugo score 1.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. CD Lugo average 10.9 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Merida AD score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Merida AD average 12.3 shots (4.7 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game.
Head to head. CD Lugo have won all of the last two meetings. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished CD Lugo 2-0 Merida AD.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The case against. Merida AD's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. CD Lugo to win. Their goals for and against make CD Lugo the likelier winners; CD Lugo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Lugo.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CD Lugo 1-0 Merida AD (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Lugo or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
CD Lugo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Merida AD: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD Lugo or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 5 of 5 (100%)85%
CD Lugo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Merida AD: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD Lugo or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
CD Lugo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Merida AD: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Double Chance: CD Lugo or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.30
CDL 5 of 5 (100%) · MER 2 of 5 (40%)75.3%
CD Lugo unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Merida AD failed to win 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD Lugo or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 7 of 8 (88%)69.2%
CD Lugo scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merida AD trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 away · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD Lugo or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 5 of 5 (100%) · MER 2 of 5 (40%)69%
CD Lugo: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Merida AD: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD Lugo (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
CDL 7 of 8 (88%) · MER 2 of 5 (40%)66.1%
CD Lugo won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Merida AD lost 2 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 3
CD Lugo 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 6 of 8 (75%)65%
CD Lugo scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merida AD trailed in 2 of 5 away · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 5 of 5 (100%) · MER 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%
CD Lugo: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Merida AD: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 5 of 5 (100%)91.4%
CD Lugo: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Merida AD: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 5 of 5 (100%) · MER 5 of 5 (100%)88.6%
CD Lugo: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Merida AD: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.31
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 4 of 5 (80%)75%
CD Lugo: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Merida AD: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.27
CDL 2 of 5 (40%) · MER 3 of 5 (60%)72.6%
CD Lugo: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Merida AD: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD LUGO GOALS
CD Lugo Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 4 of 5 (80%)78.1%
CD Lugo scored in 4 of 5 at home · Merida AD conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 6 of 8 (75%) · MER 5 of 5 (100%)85.8%
CD Lugo's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merida AD's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.3%
CD Lugo goals →
Merida AD goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CD LUGODWDWWWWWWL2.30 PPG
MERIDA ADWWLLLLWWWD1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD LUGO HOMExMERIDA AD AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.700.80CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%CLEAN SHEETS40%11%FAILED TO SCORE33%4.38CORNERS A GAME4.902.38CARDS A GAME3.60
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.44POINTS A GAME1.44+0.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.02.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES9
CD Lugo: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
CD LUGO OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
MERIDA AD OR DRAW
25%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD LUGOxMERIDA AD
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME2.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.203.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
CD LUGO 2 · 100%DRAW 0MERIDA AD 0 · 0%
2026-01-03CD Lugo 1 – 0 Merida AD
2026-05-03CD Lugo 2 – 0 Merida AD
TRENDS
CD Lugo have scored in 80% of their games.
Merida AD have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Lugo kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Merida AD kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards