Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de O Couto. The referee is J. Vidal.
What's at stake. UD Ourense are 19th on 5 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Deportivo La Coruña II, level on points with Arenas Getxo. A win would take them level on points with Deportivo La Coruña II. Cultural Leonesa are 14th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Zamora, 2 points clear of Barakaldo. A win would take them above Zamora.
Form. UD Ourense have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. Cultural Leonesa have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L.
The numbers. UD Ourense score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. UD Ourense average 7.7 shots (1.6 on target), 3.7 corners and 4.1 cards a game. Cultural Leonesa score 0.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Cultural Leonesa average 12.0 shots (3.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. UD Ourense's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Cultural Leonesa to win. A tight game. Cultural Leonesa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cultural Leonesa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 76% on the records (UD Ourense: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; Cultural Leonesa: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Cultural Leonesa or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Cultural Leonesa Over 0.5 Goals (Cultural Leonesa's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Ourense 0-1 Cultural Leonesa (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Cultural Leonesa or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDO 3 of 5 (60%) · CUL 3 of 5 (60%)69.2%
Cultural Leonesa scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · UD Ourense trailed or failed to win in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level
Double Chance: Draw or Cultural LeonesaLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
UDO 3 of 5 (60%) · CUL 8 of 9 (89%)65.5%
Cultural Leonesa unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · UD Ourense failed to win 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level
Cultural Leonesa (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
UDO 3 of 6 (50%) · CUL 6 of 7 (86%)51.7%
Cultural Leonesa won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · UD Ourense lost 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 68% · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 3
Cultural Leonesa 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDO 2 of 5 (40%) · CUL 2 of 5 (40%)51.7%
Cultural Leonesa scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 2 of 5 away · UD Ourense trailed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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UDO 9 of 9 (100%) · CUL 5 of 5 (100%)96%
UD Ourense: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Cultural Leonesa: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDO 9 of 9 (100%) · CUL 5 of 5 (100%)89.6%
UD Ourense: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Cultural Leonesa: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.23
UDO 8 of 9 (89%) · CUL 5 of 5 (100%)76.5%
UD Ourense: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Cultural Leonesa: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDO 9 of 9 (100%) · CUL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
UD Ourense: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Cultural Leonesa: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.14
UDO 9 of 9 (100%) · CUL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
UD Ourense: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Cultural Leonesa: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDO 8 of 9 (89%) · CUL 5 of 5 (100%)90.7%
UD Ourense: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Cultural Leonesa: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
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UDO 7 of 8 (88%) · CUL 4 of 5 (80%)85.2%
UD Ourense's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cultural Leonesa's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Cultural Leonesa's level · Cultural Leonesa: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level
Left off the list: Cultural Leonesa or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (76%) and the records (96%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Cultural Leonesa Over 0.5 Goals (Cultural Leonesa's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.9%
UD Ourense goals →
Cultural Leonesa goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
UD OURENSELLLLDDWLLD0.60 PPG
CULTURAL LEONESADWLWDLWDLW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UD OURENSE HOMExCULTURAL LEONESA AWAY
0.40SCORED A GAME1.101.60CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS40%67%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.67CORNERS A GAME4.604.11CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
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543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.56POINTS A GAME1.33-1.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11-5.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.01.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.09LEAGUE GAMES9
Cultural Leonesa: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
CULTURAL LEONESA 0:2 HANDICAP
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373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
29%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
UD OURENSE OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
CULTURAL LEONESA OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UD OURENSExCULTURAL LEONESA
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.601.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
UD Ourense have scored in 40% of their games.
Cultural Leonesa have scored in 70% of their games.
UD Ourense kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Cultural Leonesa kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards