DHDOU

20:00Sat 31 Oct

VIL

Douglas Haig vs Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Torneo Federal A, Round of 16. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Miguel Morales, Pergamino.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Douglas Haig have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.

The numbers. Douglas Haig score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Douglas Haig average 14.1 shots (4.2 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca score 0.8 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca average 7.9 shots (3.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The case against. Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Douglas Haig to win. A tight game. Douglas Haig are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Douglas Haig are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 2.5 Goals (Douglas Haig are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Douglas Haig 1-0 Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Douglas Haig or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.13

DOU 3 of 5 (60%) · VIL 9 of 10 (90%)81%

Douglas Haig: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Douglas Haig: only games against sides at Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's level · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: only games against sides at Douglas Haig's level

Douglas Haig or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.24

DOU 3 of 5 (60%) · VIL 5 of 8 (62%)63.1%

Douglas Haig scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca trailed or failed to win in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Douglas Haig: only games against sides at Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's level · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: only games against sides at Douglas Haig's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - NoLEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

DOU 2 of 5 (40%) · VIL 8 of 10 (80%)50.2%

Douglas Haig: not both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: not both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Douglas Haig: only games against sides at Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's level · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: only games against sides at Douglas Haig's level

VILLA MITRE DE BAHIA BLANCA GOALS

Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.23

DOU 8 of 10 (80%) · VIL 3 of 5 (60%)73.8%

Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Douglas Haig conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: only games against sides at Douglas Haig's level · Douglas Haig: only games against sides at Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.10

DOU 4 of 5 (80%) · VIL 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%

Douglas Haig: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Douglas Haig: only games against sides at Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's level · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: only games against sides at Douglas Haig's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.23

DOU 3 of 5 (60%) · VIL 8 of 10 (80%)70%

Douglas Haig: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Douglas Haig: only games against sides at Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's level · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: only games against sides at Douglas Haig's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DOU 5 of 8 (62%) · VIL 9 of 9 (100%)81.3%

Douglas Haig's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's games: over 2.5 cards in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Douglas Haig: only games against sides at Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's level · Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca: only games against sides at Douglas Haig's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Douglas Haig are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 2.5 Goals (Douglas Haig are a clear winner - no Unders); Douglas Haig Over 0.5 goals (Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Douglas Haig or draw and under 3.5 goals (Douglas Haig are a clear winner - no Unders); Douglas Haig or draw and under 2.5 goals (Douglas Haig are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Douglas Haig are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Douglas Haig are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11%

Douglas Haig goals →

Villa Mitre de Bahia… goals ↓

0-010%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

DOUGLAS HAIGLWDDWLWWDL1.50 PPG

VILLA MITRE DE BAHIA BLANCAWWDDLWDDLD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DOUGLAS HAIG HOMExVILLA MITRE DE BAHIA BLANCA AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.620.88CONCEDED A GAME0.5060%CLEAN SHEETS60%5.88CORNERS A GAME4.732.50CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

DOUGLAS HAIG OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME1.55+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.55–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES11

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

23%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

100%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

DOUGLAS HAIG OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

VILLA MITRE DE BAHIA BLANCA OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

DOUGLAS HAIGxVILLA MITRE DE BAHIA BLANCA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.200.20CONCEDED A GAME0.201.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.420%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%0%BOTH SCORE0%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Douglas Haig have scored in 60% of their games.

Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca have scored in 50% of their games.

Douglas Haig kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Villa Mitre de Bahia Blanca kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards