SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 3

CBCDB

17:00Sat 31 Oct

VEL

CD Bezana vs Velarde CF

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 3. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. CD Bezana have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. Velarde CF have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.

The numbers. CD Bezana score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Velarde CF score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 60%.

The read. No firm call: CD Bezana are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Bezana the likelier winners; CD Bezana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Bezana. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Bezana or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); CD Bezana or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Bezana to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CD Bezana 1-1 Velarde CF (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Bezana or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · VEL 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%

CD Bezana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Velarde CF: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Bezana: only games against sides at Velarde CF's level · Velarde CF: only games against sides at CD Bezana's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · VEL 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%

CD Bezana: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Velarde CF: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CD Bezana: only games against sides at Velarde CF's level · Velarde CF: only games against sides at CD Bezana's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · VEL 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%

CD Bezana: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Velarde CF: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Bezana: only games against sides at Velarde CF's level · Velarde CF: only games against sides at CD Bezana's level

CD BEZANA GOALS

CD Bezana Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · VEL 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%

CD Bezana scored in 4 of 5 at home · Velarde CF conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Bezana: only games against sides at Velarde CF's level · Velarde CF: only games against sides at CD Bezana's level

Left off the list: CD Bezana or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (79%) and the records (100%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); CD Bezana or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CD Bezana to Win (the numbers (47%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); CD Bezana or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CD Bezana (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (64%) and the records (86%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.8%

CD Bezana goals →

Velarde CF goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD BEZANAWDWWWWWDLD2.10 PPG

VELARDE CFDLDWLLLLLD0.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD BEZANA HOMExVELARDE CF AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME0.500.80CONCEDED A GAME1.7040%CLEAN SHEETS40%

TRENDS

CD Bezana have scored in 90% of their games.

Velarde CF have scored in 40% of their games.

CD Bezana kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Velarde CF kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table