KS Stilon Gorzow Wlkp vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Match details. III Liga, Group 3, Group III - 15. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. KS Stilon Gorzow Wlkp are 11th on 17 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Kluczbork, 2 points clear of Stal Brzeg. A win would take them above Kluczbork. Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 1st on 31 points after 14 games, 1 point clear of Sparta Katowice.
Form. KS Stilon Gorzow Wlkp have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition KS Stilon Gorzow Wlkp have gone L D L W W D. Zaglebie Sosnowiec have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Zaglebie Sosnowiec have gone W W W W W W.
The numbers. KS Stilon Gorzow Wlkp score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. KS Stilon Gorzow Wlkp average 3.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last seven away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Zaglebie Sosnowiec average 7.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. KS Stilon Gorzow Wlkp's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win. A tight game. Zaglebie Sosnowiec are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Zaglebie Sosnowiec. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 1.23, 77% on the records (Zaglebie Sosnowiec unbeaten in 5 of 7 away; KS Stilon Gorzow Wlkp failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Leave: Zaglebie Sosnowiec or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Zaglebie Sosnowiec or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Zaglebie Sosnowiec to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: KS Stilon Gorzow Wlkp 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).