Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 6, Group 6 - 9. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CF Villarreal C are 1st on 21 points after 8 games, 4 points clear of Levante II. SC Torrevieja CF are 13th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Buñol, 1 point clear of Ontinyent 1931. A win would take them above Buñol.
Form. CF Villarreal C have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. SC Torrevieja CF have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. In this competition SC Torrevieja CF have gone D L D L W L.
The numbers. CF Villarreal C score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CF Villarreal C average 9.3 shots (3.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game. SC Torrevieja CF score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. SC Torrevieja CF average 8.9 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
The case against. SC Torrevieja CF's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. CF Villarreal C to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF Villarreal C the likelier winners; CF Villarreal C are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Villarreal C. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CF Villarreal C or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CF Villarreal C to Win (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CF Villarreal C 1-0 SC Torrevieja CF (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).