Match details. 1. League Women. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. MFK Ruzomberok have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. AS Trencin have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. MFK Ruzomberok score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. MFK Ruzomberok average 2.3 corners and 0.7 cards a game. AS Trencin score 2.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. AS Trencin average 1.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
The case against. MFK Ruzomberok's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. AS Trencin to win. An open game. AS Trencin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AS Trencin. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 92%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: MFK Ruzomberok 1-2 AS Trencin (7% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (AS Trencin the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).