Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 9. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico Malagueno have won four, drawn two and lost two of their last eight league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D L W W. UD Melilla have won seven, drawn none and lost one of their last eight league games, 2.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Atletico Malagueno score 2.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets. Atletico Malagueno average 13.7 shots (5.7 on target), 7.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. UD Melilla score 1.9 and concede 0.6 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets. UD Melilla average 10.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Atletico Malagueno the likelier winners, but UD Melilla are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Melilla.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Atletico Malagueno 1-1 UD Melilla (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Atletico Malagueno the favourite), goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).