Real Refineros Cds vs Guerreros de Autlan
Match details. Liga Premier Serie A, Apertura - 10. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Real Refineros Cds are 8th on 9 points after 9 games, 3 points clear of Real Apodaca. Guerreros de Autlan are 7th on 12 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Halcones Negros. A win would take them above Halcones Negros.
Form. Real Refineros Cds have won one, drawn four and lost four of their last nine, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. Guerreros de Autlan have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L.
The numbers. Real Refineros Cds score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Real Refineros Cds average 10.2 shots (6.5 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Guerreros de Autlan score 0.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Guerreros de Autlan average 12.0 shots (6.2 on target), 6.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Guerreros de Autlan or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Real Refineros Cds 2-2 Guerreros de Autlan (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).