Etoile de Lest vs Gorilla FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Etoile de Lest are 18th on 3 points after 5 games, level on points with Al Hilal Omdurman. A win would take them above Al Hilal Omdurman. Gorilla FC are 2nd on 11 points after 6 games, level on points with Marines, 1 point clear of Mukura. A win would take them above Marines.
Form. Etoile de Lest have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L. Gorilla FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L.
The numbers. Etoile de Lest score 0.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Etoile de Lest average 7.2 shots (1.8 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Gorilla FC score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Gorilla FC average 4.1 shots (1.5 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Etoile de Lest have won one, drawn one and lost two. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 2 Apr 2024, it finished Etoile de Lest 0-1 Gorilla FC.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Gorilla FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Gorilla FC 1UP (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Etoile de Lest 0-0 Gorilla FC (18% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).