Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at BCS Sports complex Bukedea.
What's at stake. Blacks Power FC are 7th on 13 points after 8 games, level on points with KCCA, 2 points clear of Vipers. A win would take them above KCCA. NEC FC are 3rd on 17 points after 8 games, 1 point behind SC Villa, 2 points clear of Entebbe UPPC. A win would take them above SC Villa.
Form. Blacks Power FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. NEC FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Blacks Power FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Blacks Power FC average 11.2 shots (4.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.1 cards a game. NEC FC score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. NEC FC average 13.9 shots (4.4 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: NEC FC Over 1.5 goals (Blacks Power FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Blacks Power FC 1-1 NEC FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).