Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs AL Ansar SC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Akhaa Al Ahli are 12th on 0 points after 4 games, level on points with Reyady Abaseya. A win would take them above Reyady Abaseya. AL Ansar SC are 7th on 3 points after 1 game, 1 point behind Al Nejmeh, level on points with Al Mabarrah. A win would take them above Al Nejmeh.
Form. Al Akhaa Al Ahli have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. AL Ansar SC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition AL Ansar SC have gone W W W D D W.
The numbers. Al Akhaa Al Ahli score 0.5 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Al Akhaa Al Ahli average 6.3 shots (1.8 on target), 3.7 corners and 0.8 cards a game. AL Ansar SC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. AL Ansar SC average 12.6 shots (6.1 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Al Akhaa Al Ahli have won two, drawn none and lost seven. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, AL Ansar SC won four. The last time they met, on 30 Oct 2022, it finished Al Akhaa Al Ahli 0-3 AL Ansar SC.
The read. AL Ansar SC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AL Ansar SC the likelier winners; AL Ansar SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Ansar SC; the meetings favour AL Ansar SC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: AL Ansar SC to win at 1.23, 78% on the records (AL Ansar SC won 4 of 7; Al Akhaa Al Ahli lost 5 of 6). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AL Ansar SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AL Ansar SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Akhaa Al Ahli 0-1 AL Ansar SC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).