Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Surkhon, Termez. The referee is A. Rahimqulov.
What's at stake. FK Termez Surkhon are 12th on 29 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Sogdiana, 3 points clear of Bunyodkor. A win would take them above Sogdiana. PFC Nasaf are 6th on 41 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Olmaliq, 1 point clear of Lokomotiv. A win would take them above Olmaliq.
Form. FK Termez Surkhon have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. In this competition FK Termez Surkhon have gone D D D W L W. PFC Nasaf have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition PFC Nasaf have gone W D W W W W.
The numbers. FK Termez Surkhon score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Termez Surkhon average 4.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game. PFC Nasaf score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. PFC Nasaf average 4.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Termez Surkhon have won one, drawn one and lost eight. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FK Termez Surkhon won one, one was drawn and PFC Nasaf won two. The last time they met, on 20 Mar 2026, it finished FK Termez Surkhon 1-0 PFC Nasaf.
The case against. FK Termez Surkhon's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. PFC Nasaf to win. A tight game. PFC Nasaf are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PFC Nasaf; the meetings favour PFC Nasaf. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 78% on the records (FK Termez Surkhon: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; PFC Nasaf: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or PFC Nasaf at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Termez Surkhon 0-1 PFC Nasaf (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).