UD Barbastro vs Pena Sport FC
Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 2 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. UD Barbastro are 14th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind UD Logroñés II, 2 points clear of Náxara. A win would take them above UD Logroñés II. Pena Sport FC are 12th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Utebo, level on points with UD Logroñés II. A win would take them above Utebo.
Form. UD Barbastro have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D. Pena Sport FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W.
The numbers. UD Barbastro score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. UD Barbastro average 11.0 shots (4.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Pena Sport FC score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pena Sport FC average 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UD Barbastro 1-1 Pena Sport FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).