Bayswater City vs Oakleigh Cannons
Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 08:00 Lagos time. It is played at Frank Drago Reserve.
What's at stake. Bayswater City are 1st on 6 points after 2 games. Oakleigh Cannons are 2nd on 4 points after 2 games.
Form. Bayswater City have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Oakleigh Cannons have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L.
The numbers. Bayswater City score 3.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets. Bayswater City average 13.1 shots (8.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Oakleigh Cannons score 1.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Oakleigh Cannons average 9.3 shots (4.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 30% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Bayswater City are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Bayswater City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bayswater City. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bayswater City Over 0.5 Goals (Oakleigh Cannons's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Oakleigh Cannons Under 1.5 goals (Oakleigh Cannons's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Bayswater City 2-1 Oakleigh Cannons (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).