Miramar Misiones vs Plaza Colonia
Match details. Segunda Division, 2nd Phase - 25. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 23:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parque Palermo, Montevideo.
What's at stake. Miramar Misiones are 12th on 29 points after 24 games, 2 points behind Sportivo Huracan, 4 points clear of Tacuarembo. A win would take them above Sportivo Huracan. Plaza Colonia are 3rd on 37 points after 24 games, 3 points behind Rentistas, 1 point clear of Colón. A win would take them level on points with Rentistas. Miramar Misiones have nothing left to play for. Plaza Colonia have nothing left to play for.
Form. Miramar Misiones have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. In this competition Miramar Misiones have gone L W D W L W. Plaza Colonia have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. In this competition Plaza Colonia have gone D W D L D D.
The numbers. Miramar Misiones score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Miramar Misiones average 7.7 shots (4.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 4.0 cards a game. Plaza Colonia score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Plaza Colonia average 7.4 shots (3.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Miramar Misiones have won two, drawn two and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Miramar Misiones won one and Plaza Colonia won three. The last time they met, on 1 Aug 2026, it finished Miramar Misiones 0-3 Plaza Colonia.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Miramar Misiones's record still gives them 36% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The read. Plaza Colonia to win. An open game. Plaza Colonia are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Plaza Colonia. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Plaza Colonia or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Plaza Colonia Over 0.5 Goals (Miramar Misiones's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Plaza Colonia (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).