Match details. Segunda Division. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Rentistas have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. La Luz FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. CA Rentistas score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Rentistas average 10.2 shots (4.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.8 cards a game. La Luz FC score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. La Luz FC average 7.0 shots (2.8 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. La Luz FC's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. CA Rentistas to win. Their goals for and against make CA Rentistas the likelier winners; CA Rentistas are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CA Rentistas 1-0 La Luz FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAR 7 of 7 (100%) · LAL 10 of 10 (100%)95.4%
CA Rentistas: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · La Luz FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CA Rentistas: only games against sides at La Luz FC's level · La Luz FC: only games against sides at CA Rentistas's level
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
CAR 7 of 7 (100%) · LAL 9 of 10 (90%)93.3%
CA Rentistas: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · La Luz FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CA Rentistas: only games against sides at La Luz FC's level · La Luz FC: only games against sides at CA Rentistas's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAR 7 of 7 (100%) · LAL 9 of 10 (90%)88.6%
CA Rentistas: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · La Luz FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CA Rentistas: only games against sides at La Luz FC's level · La Luz FC: only games against sides at CA Rentistas's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.40
CAR 6 of 7 (86%) · LAL 6 of 10 (60%)71.7%
CA Rentistas: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · La Luz FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · CA Rentistas: only games against sides at La Luz FC's level · La Luz FC: only games against sides at CA Rentistas's level
LA LUZ FC GOALS
La Luz FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
CAR 7 of 10 (70%) · LAL 5 of 7 (71%)64.7%
La Luz FC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Rentistas conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · La Luz FC: only games against sides at CA Rentistas's level · CA Rentistas: only games against sides at La Luz FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAR 7 of 7 (100%) · LAL 8 of 8 (100%)100%
CA Rentistas's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · La Luz FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CA Rentistas: only games against sides at La Luz FC's level · La Luz FC: only games against sides at CA Rentistas's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.2%
CA Rentistas goals →
La Luz FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CA RENTISTASWWLWLWLLWD1.60 PPG
LA LUZ FCLDLWLWWDWW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA RENTISTAS HOMExLA LUZ FC AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.201.30CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.75CORNERS A GAME5.623.75CARDS A GAME3.38
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
LA LUZ FC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.12POINTS A GAME1.62+0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.23+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.22.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.68LEAGUE GAMES13
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CA RENTISTAS OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
LA LUZ FC OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CA RENTISTASxLA LUZ FC
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME0.403.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%6.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CA Rentistas have scored in 70% of their games.
La Luz FC have scored in 70% of their games.
CA Rentistas kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
La Luz FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards