L'Entregu CF vs UD Gijon Industrial
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 2. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 18:15 Lagos time.
Form. L'Entregu CF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. UD Gijon Industrial have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. L'Entregu CF score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. L'Entregu CF average 5.8 shots (2.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game. UD Gijon Industrial score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. UD Gijon Industrial average 8.7 shots (4.7 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: UD Gijon Industrial are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make UD Gijon Industrial the likelier winners; UD Gijon Industrial are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Gijon Industrial. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: L'Entregu CF Over 0.5 Goals (UD Gijon Industrial's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: L'Entregu CF 1-1 UD Gijon Industrial (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).