CD Palencia Cristo Atletico vs Palencia CF
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 8. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Palencia CF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W.
The numbers. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico average 11.0 shots (4.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Palencia CF score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Palencia CF average 10.5 shots (5.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Palencia CF's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico to win. A tight game. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Palencia Cristo Atletico. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, 87% on the records (CD Palencia Cristo Atletico: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Palencia CF: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: CD Palencia Cristo Atletico or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Palencia Cristo Atletico Over 0.5 Goals (Palencia CF's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CD Palencia Cristo Atletico or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Palencia Cristo Atletico 1-0 Palencia CF (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).