CD Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Illescas
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 18. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Manchego Ciudad Real have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. CD Illescas have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. CD Manchego Ciudad Real score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. CD Manchego Ciudad Real average 9.8 shots (4.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.7 cards a game. CD Illescas score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CD Illescas average 11.0 shots (4.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
The case against. CD Illescas's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. CD Manchego Ciudad Real to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Manchego Ciudad Real the likelier winners; CD Manchego Ciudad Real are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Manchego Ciudad Real. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Manchego Ciudad Real or Draw at 1.26, 75% on the records (CD Manchego Ciudad Real unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; CD Illescas failed to win 3 of 5 away). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Both Teams to Score - No (the signs point different ways); CD Manchego Ciudad Real to Win (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Manchego Ciudad Real 1-0 CD Illescas (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).