Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. UD Las Palmas C have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D L. UD Anaza have won two, drawn three and lost three of their last eight, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L.
The numbers. UD Las Palmas C score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. UD Las Palmas C average 2.5 corners and 4.0 cards a game. UD Anaza score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. UD Anaza average 11.0 shots (3.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 69% against the records' 37%.
The read. No firm call: UD Las Palmas C are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make UD Las Palmas C the likelier winners; UD Las Palmas C are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: UD Las Palmas C 2-1 UD Anaza (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).